The Future of US Deterrence in East Asia: Are Conventional Land-Based IRBMs a Silver Bullet?

David W. Kearn Jr

China’s missiles now threaten key US bases, hold US naval forces in the region at risk, and pose a clear challenge for US policymakers. US experts have proposed deploying conventional land-based IRBMs in the region to offset this growing Chinese advantage and deter China from future aggression.


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Allan J. MacLaren, Colonel, USAF, Ret 12/4/2013 7:57:57 AM

Even without considering the potentially dramatic diplomatic and political military implications of a withdrawal from the INF Treaty, it is difficult to envision the expected military benefits of a new generation of US conventional IRBMs outweighing the costs. His conclusion is dead-on.



Hunter Dilg 1/21/2014 5:03:36 PM

Just having mutal economic ties is not enough to prevent a war with China. After years of the US controlling trade with China, now we are giving tax breaks and benifits to those companies to move jobs especially manufacturing jobs to China, while closing down those industries here at home. If war breaks out with China (and it will with Russia also, make no mistake about it) They'll want to dictate trade terms with us. After all they will control the majority of our manufaturing. And the real deterrent has been removed from the US. It's called "launch on warning" PDD 60 singed and adopted by President Clinton removes this from our policy. The policy is to take a strike and then respond with a strike. Not very sound policy if you ask me, setting us up for failure. IRBMs are not a deterrent. China has been building/upgrading bases along their shipping lanes from the Middle East to China in places such as: Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and the Chinese island of Mainan where there is a gigantic underground naval base where their subs cans move freely in and out of the facility without surfacing, meaning without being detected. Overall pretty good article.