China: An Unlikely Economic Hegemon

Maj Heather Fox, USAF

While China is expected to become extremely powerful, it may not rise to the level many expect due to three limiting factors: currency, exports, and demographics. These factors, along with mutual dependency between the two nations, have implications for US policy toward China.

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Brian Turner 3/20/2014 7:01:23 AM

A slight correction on page 98 is in order. The Chinese population is 1.34 billion. Approximately 900 million are in the workforce--unless the Chinese have a very repressive child labor policy!

Capt Lee Zaniewski 5/13/2014 11:04:11 AM

This article cherry picks examples and misrepresents both the advantages of strategic thought and the nature of cyberspace. Dr. Libicki expounds on U-boats without mentioning the far more successful Naval blockade of the Central Powers, which was a strategy more directly taken from Admiral Mahanís writings. He glosses over the extremely successful strategic bombing campaign against Japan, which likely saved over 1 million US casualties. Also, his assertion that a system can be perfectly secured shows a lack of understanding of the state of network security. Exploitable vulnerabilities are discovered on a weekly basis and effect millions of systems. In the network security field, a patch on Tuesday is followed by an exploit on Wednesday. Dr. Libicki further asserts that a society abandoning digital networks and returning to a military of the 1970s and an economy of 1995 is proof that a cyber-attack is not that bad. This is simply bizarre. Any society abandoning digital technologies would quickly find itself falling behind economically and technologically. The only society that has attempted such a move, North Korea, has a horrible economic and human rights record. Finally, his assertion that LOAC considerations, the need for deception, and an evolving landscape somehow uniquely affects cyberspace is just false. All of these affect all domains, Air, Ground, Sea, and Space, just at varying degrees.