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Behavioral Influences Analysis
Methodology Description
Part I

Elizabeth Chamberlain

This document was prepared for the Behavioral Influences Analysis Center (BIAC), Air University, Maxwell AFB by the analysts of the Behavioral Influences Analysis Branch, National Air and Space Intelligence Center, Wright Patterson Air Force Base. The outline is intended to be used by faculty and students in an academic environment to facilitate adaptation of these concepts into the curricula at Air University. The purpose of this document is to provide a starting point for further research. This document is a working draft based on four years of methodology development using active intelligence analysis.

1.0. What is BIA?

Behavioral Influences Analysis is an analytic process or framework that provides intelligence to strategists, commanders, planners, targeteers, and operators to facilitate understanding and exploitation of the perceptual and behavioral context of the battlespace. Analysts use a research-based methodology incorporating principles from a wide range of social and engineering sciences, including sociology, cultural anthropology, and psychology, operations research, cognitive engineering and others.

BIA focuses, holistically, on adversary motivations, worldview, behavioral history, and the behaviors that will likely follow. To achieve sufficient understanding of a foreign individual, group, or military organization, analysts develop a knowledge base consisting of three knowledge domains of analytic interest covering cultural, organizational and cognitive strata. Careful study of the domains of analytic interest will allow the analyst to develop insight into the primary influences on behavior, namely worldview, motivations and behavioral history.

2.0. The Knowledge Domains of Analytic Interest: Culture, Organizations & Psychology

3.0. Key Influences on Behavior.

The study of human behavior covers multiple disciplines, producing countless theories and counter theories. For the purposes of producing an operationally-relevant understanding of the key influences on human behavior, NASIC teamed with researchers from the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL).23 The resulting proposed model for understanding human behavior is underpinned by a careful study of the domains already addressed: Culture, Organization, and Individual Psychology. However, factors from these domains do not create behaviors; they inform/shape the influences that will bound the likely range of behaviors considered by the subject. Investigation of the three domains is useful to the analyst for providing insight into the key influences on behavioral choices, identified by the AFRL team as Worldview, Motivations and Behavioral History.

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