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18-20 Mar 2008


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Back to Events

see also Analysis Tools page

Inferring Adversary Intent & Estimating Behavior

18-20 Mar 2008

Behavioral Influences Analysis Center (BIAC) Workshop
18 Mar 08, Tuesday
0800
- 0850
Introduction and
  • Behavioral Influences Analysis Mission and Methodology Overview
  • Greg Jannarone
    Director of BIAC
    0900
    - 0950
  • Dynamic Adversarial Gaming (DAGA)
  • Fused Intent Systems (FIS)
  • Dr. Lee Krause
    Securboration, collaborating
    with Dartmouth College
    1000
    - 1040
    ACCORD: simple, no-math Bayesian tool for analyst support Dr. E.L. Perry
    Air Force Wargaming Institute
    1050
    - 1130
    OSINT in/from Academia: S&T Developments and Human Network Discoveries Dr. Bob Norton
    Auburn University
    1130
    - 1300
    Lunch (also, tools/methods demonstrations, as desired) ALL
    1300
    - 1350
    Influence Net (PYTHIA) and Bayesian Net Approaches: Semi-Automated Generation of Influence NetsDr. Lee W. Wagenhals
    George Mason University
    System Architecture Laboratory
    1400
    - 1430
    CAESAR III: Organizational Design and AnalysisDr. Lee W. Wagenhals
    George Mason University
    System Architecture Laboratory
    1430
    - 1500
    Commander's Predictive Environment (CPE) programDr. Janet Miller
    Human Effectiveness Directorate
    Air Force Research Lab
    1500
    - 1630
    Models, software tools, methods discussion, laptop demonstrations --
    FUNDAMENTAL conference purpose
    ALL
    19 Mar 08, Wednesday
    0800
    - 0825
    TEMPER - TEMPoral ProgrammERDr. Lee W. Wagenhals
    George Mason University
    System Architecture Laboratory
    0825
    - 0850
    Model and Tool Interoperation - ORA-CAESAR III-PYTHIA exampleDr. Lee W. Wagenhals
    George Mason University
    System Architecture Laboratory
    0900
    - 0950
    Automated Text Extraction (ATEA), from AFRL Carrie Pine
    Mark Zappavinga
    AFRL/REID, Rome Labs
    Air Force Research Lab
    1000
    - 1050
    Human Network Systems: Analysis & OperationsDr. Richard F. Deckro
    AFIT/Operations Research
    Air Force Institute of Technology
    1100
    - 1130
    Java Causal Analysis Tool (JCAT), a Bayesian inference/belief network tool from AFRLCraig McNamara
    contractor, AFRL
    Air Force Research Lab
    1130
    - 1300
    Lunch (also, tools/methods demonstrations, as desired) ALL
    1300
    - 1350
    Dynamic Network Analysis: AUTOMAP-ORA-DYNETTerrill Frantz
    Center for Computational Analysis of Social and Organizational Systems (CASOS)
    Carnegie Mellon University
    1400
    - 1450
    From Raw Source Data to SimulationTerrill Frantz
    CASOS
    Carnegie Mellon University
    1450
    - 1630
    Models, software tools, methods discussion, laptop demonstrations --
    FUNDAMENTAL conference purpose
    ALL
    20 Mar 08, Thursday - BIA Methodology Overview/Practice
    0800
    - 1130
    BIA Workflow and Tools - Overview
    [see also Methodology page]

    Beliefs, Attitudes & Behavior

    Morning sessions: BIA Methodology steps 1 thru 7, the front end, "Adversary Past/Present Behavioral Analysis" - description, explanation, and practice: understanding behavior

    Greg Jannarone,
    Director, BIAC
    1130
    - 1300
    Lunch (time available for clarification/more details, optional) ALL
    1300
    - 1630
    Steps 8-13, the back end, "Adversary Behavioral Assessment" - description, explanation, and practice: selecting/recommending behavioral influence applications

    Recommended books

    Greg Jannarone,
    Director, BIAC





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