Why is BIA important to do ? ___return to top
Knowing the adversary's physically-based and electromagnetic capabilities (weapons systems, munitions, platforms, C4, etc.) tells us what raw capabilities he possesses to apply force or violence. BIA addresses what he believes he CAN, SHOULD, or MUST do with respect to his opponents or in a given situation. This requires an understanding of his/their enduring attitudes, motivations, and decision processes, among other key factors. He may possess WMD, but conclude from his own net-assessment, that the risks of retribution outweigh any possible gains of employment. Also, even suicidal adversaries must calculate that their tactics have a good chance to succeed, and to achieve the psychological, physical, and social objectives intended. BIA attempts to develop actionable insights that allow friendly actions to be best targeted to shape or condition, in order to deter or persuade, an adversary from a particular course of action. If not deterred, then the assessments offer the best available ways to exploit adversary psychological and behavioral vulnerabilities so as to deceive, mislead, divert, or delay dangerous behaviors, or to make them ineffective.
What books do you recommend? ___return to top
- Intelligence Analysis: A Target-Centric Approach, 2nd Edition. Robert M. Clark. CQ Press, 2006
- Know Thy Enemy II: a Look at the World's Most Threatening Terrorist Networks and Criminal Gangs, Editors: Kindt, Post, and Schneider, USAF Counterproliferation Center, 2007
- Know Thy Enemy: Profiles of Adversary Leaders and Their Strategic Cultures, Editors: Schneider and Post, USAF Counterproliferation Center, 2003
- Adversarial Reasoning: Computational Approaches to Reading the Opponent's Mind, Editors: Kott and McEneaney. Chapman and Hall/CRC, 2007.
- Organizational Simulation, Editors: Rouse and Boff. John Wiley and Sons, 2005
- Cross-Cultural Psychology: Critical Thinking and Contemporary Applications, 3rd Edition. Shiraev and Levy. Pearson/Allyn and Bacon, 2007
- Understanding Culture's Influence on Behavior, 2nd Edition. Richard Brislin. Wadsworth/Thomson Learning, 2000
- Culture and Psychology, 4th Edition. Matsumoto and Juang. Thomson/Wadsworth, 2008
- International Relations, 8th Edition. Goldstein and Pevehouse. Pearson/Longman, 2008
- Strategy for Chaos, Colin S. Gray. Frank Cass, 2002